As we look at the Support Index numbers for the Republicans in the Southeast, Super Tuesday is Donald Trump's to lose.
What is interesting about these numbers is the changes since the Republican debate on Thursday. For example, on Friday, the Arkansas numbers were 36, 32, 27 for Trump, Rubio and Cruz respectively while Alabama was 47, 28, 18 . Over the past two days there has been a significant swing towards Trump in these States.
Overall, it looks very positive for Trump but the volatility on the Republican side could mean big swings in the vote as we close in on Tuesday.