The recent budget did not cause any major issues for the governing Progressive Conservatives in New Brunswick as the party remains 18 points ahead of the Official Opposition Liberals according to Eyesover Technologies’ support index measurements.
As of April 1, the Eyesover support index stands at 44 PC, 26 Liberal, 19 Green, 10 PANB, 1 NDP. While not a representative sample poll, our support index analyzes online political discussions using natural language processing and sentiment analysis to determine the political party the discussion participants are likely to support. Through this process, we also record the topics and entities the public are discussing to understand what issues are driving the public’s support of a particular party.
Over the past month, the two parties with the lowest support levels have seen that support decline further with the PANB dropping from 15 to 10, and the NDP losing almost all support as they move from 6 to 1. The Liberals and Green Party have been the beneficiaries of this movement while the PCs have remained stable in the mid-40s.
The focus of New Brunswick political discussions over the past month, to no surprise, has been the implementation of carbon pricing in the province. The number of mentions about carbon pricing was close to double that of the next most discussed issue. Carbon pricing discussions have been neutral when the PCs and the PANB are mentioned in conjunction with the topic. However, the sentiment has been quite positive when the Liberals or Green Party are included in the comments, indicating support for carbon pricing among some sectors of the public.
The second most discussed topic has been nursing homes, and on this front, the mentions of the PC government have been positive, while the mention frequency of other parties has been low. The data indicates the issue is not one that is garnering high levels of attention from the public or causing any shifts in support between parties.
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Eyesover Technologies’ analysis of political public opinion consists of continuously measuring and analyzing mentions and sentiment for each candidate/party from online comments pertaining to political parties and/or issues sourced from Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, Reddit and online news sites and as such, would not be considered a survey based on recognized statistical methods.