Tonight's Primaries are lining up to be interesting for both parties but for different reasons.
On the Democratic side, Clinton should win both Michigan and Mississippi, which would reduce the amount of runway Sanders has left in his campaign.
On the Republican side, it does appear that while Trump still looks strong overall, there might be cracks in the armor since he goes into two races tonight looking up at the leader.
We project Clinton will win both races handily as she goes into tonight with an 18 point advantage in Michigan and a 28 point lead in Mississippi.
The Republicans have a couple of intriguing races ahead of them. While we see Trump doing well in Michigan and the Hawaii caucus (although our sample size in Hawaii is very small...), Mississippi sees Cruz slightly ahead of Trump, a lead that was established just over the last two days after Trump had a significant lead for weeks. A similar scenario has played out in Idaho, where it is a true three way race with Cruz leading Rubio and Trump by the slimmest of margins.
Also of note is Kasich's second place position in Michigan. Taking a quick peak at Ohio, we have Kasich ahead of Trump 40-39 so it seems that the Governor is building to a strong Ohio Primary which could certainly change the overall dynamic of the race.