While we started out using the Eyesover system to monitor the Federal Election for a little bit of fun, we’ve been pleased by the requests we’ve received to provide our results on a more frequent basis. So with the election coming on Monday we decided to provide another update heading into the weekend since we expect there will be a lot of exciting movement over the next three days.
As you can probably tell from the title of this blog post - unless you are more obsessed with the Jays than we are and assume this is about a Marcus Stroman two-seam fastball - we’re talking about the recent changes in our Eyesover Support Index.
Since our last update Wednesday, we have witnessed a significant narrowing of the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives – so much that our Support Index shows a dead heat between the two parties.
The underlying reasons for the changes are the average sentiment scores for the Liberals and the Conservatives, with the former decreasing over the past two days and the latter increasing.
What caused these changes? We analyzed the topics within the comments that mentioned each of the parties over the past two days and found that those mentioning ‘lobbying’ or ‘Gagnier’ represented close to 10% of the Liberal comments we analyzed - an extremely large share. The average sentiment of those comments fell into negative territory, a significant change for the Liberals and Justin Trudeau who for the most part, have enjoyed very positive sentiment online. Over the same period, the Conservatives enjoyed an increase in their average sentiment leading to their increased Support Index score.
We’ll continue to watch over the weekend as it looks like the race is going down to the wire. And remember - Go Jays!